Compare miguel and Villese | AoE Tournament Elo

Career Comparison

Team

Nov 2009

Competitive Since

Dec 2017

107

Tournaments

93

277

Series

303

2108

World #49

Current Elo

2273

World #19

2195

Aug 2022

Highest Elo

2359

Jun 2023

Elo Comparison

Previous Encounters

1 (14%)

Won by miguel

7

Series against each other

6 (86%)

Won by Villese

History

2333 −2 2331

+2+2−6

2

vs.

1

74% - Prediction - 26%

Show Details

2147 +2 2149

−2−2+6

Villese still lost points to miguel, because the victory was closer than expected.

2305 +4 2309

+3+3+3−5

3

vs.

1

68% - Prediction - 32%

Show Details

2178 −4 2174

−3−3−3+5

2276 +6 2282

+3+3

2

vs.

0

66% - Prediction - 34%

Show Details

2160 −6 2154

−3−3

2171 −9 2162

−3−3−3

0

vs.

3

40% - Prediction - 60%

Show Details

2244 +9 2253

+3+3+3

2241 −12 2229

+3−5−5−5

1

vs.

3

62% - Prediction - 38%

Show Details

2159 +12 2171

−3+5+5+5

2230 +4 2234

+3+3+3−5

3

vs.

1

62% - Prediction - 38%

Show Details

2145 −4 2141

−3−3−3+5

2208 ±0 2208

+2+2+2−6

3

vs.

1

69% - Prediction - 31%

Show Details

2069 ±0 2069

−2−2−2+6

The result was exactly like expected, so no Elo changes.

Win Probability

For a Single Game

28% for miguel

Based on a −165 Elo difference.

miguel would get +6 for each victory and lose −2 for each defeat.

72% for Villese

Based on a +165 Elo difference.

Villese would get +2 for each victory and lose −6 for each defeat.

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