Compare Margougou and ACCM | AoE Tournament Elo

Career Comparison

Team

Apr 2020

Competitive Since

Aug 2013

84

Tournaments

162

216

Series

568

2219

World #25

Current Elo

2358

World #10

2238

Dec 2023

Highest Elo

2395

Mar 2024

Elo Comparison

Previous Encounters

3 (33%)

Won by Margougou

9

Series against each other

6 (67%)

Won by ACCM

History

2213 +5 2218

+5

1

vs.

0

34% - Prediction - 66%

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2331 −5 2326

−5

2329 +7 2336

+3+3+3+3−5

4

vs.

1

65% - Prediction - 35%

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2218 −7 2211

−3−3−3−3+5

2317 +1 2318

+3+3−5

2

vs.

1

66% - Prediction - 34%

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2198 −1 2197

−3−3+5

2332 −6 2326

+2+2+2−6−6

3

vs.

2

70% - Prediction - 30%

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2186 +6 2192

−2−2−2+6+6

ACCM still lost points to Margougou, because the victory was closer than expected.

2377 −10 2367

+2−6−6

1

vs.

2

79% - Prediction - 21%

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2147 +10 2157

−2+6+6

2143 −2 2141

+6−2−2−2−2

1

vs.

4

25% - Prediction - 75%

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2333 +2 2335

−6+2+2+2+2

2262 +9 2271

+3+3+3

3

vs.

0

67% - Prediction - 33%

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2136 −9 2127

−3−3−3

2241 −10 2231

+2−6−6

1

vs.

2

78% - Prediction - 22%

Show Details

2018 +10 2028

−2+6+6

2233 ±0 2233

+2+2+2−6

3

vs.

1

78% - Prediction - 22%

Show Details

2013 ±0 2013

−2−2−2+6

The result was exactly like expected, so no Elo changes.

Win Probability

For a Single Game

31% for Margougou

Based on a −139 Elo difference.

Margougou would get +6 for each victory and lose −2 for each defeat.

69% for ACCM

Based on a +139 Elo difference.

ACCM would get +2 for each victory and lose −6 for each defeat.

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